2017 has been an important and proaductive year for SUSFANS. Not only did we complete a long trajectory of developing metrics for sustainable food and nutrition security, we also assessed consumer diets in selected European countries against a common food-based dietary guideline.
Food and nutrition security:
Early warning systems for commodity markets
A systematic review of existing EU-wide scenarios related to the EU sustainable food and nutrition security, identification of most salient features, and resulting synthesis scenarios for exploring sustainable diets
The role of market power in the EU food supply chain
In recent years, there has been growing interest on the functioning of food supply chains in the face of significant external challenges, such as a growing demand for agricultural production worldwide and price volatility. This report is the first to analyze the functioning of the food supply chain in terms of firm-level mark-up volatility of its actors. The results show that the farm sector has a significantly higher volatility than its counterparts in the food supply chain.
Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: Food supply and use of scarce resources
It is the vision of SUSFANS to contribute to a better understanding of the European food system and to provide tools for policy makers to advance with respect to Sustainable Food and Nutrition Security in Europe. All three dimensions of sustainability – social, environmental and economic – are addressed in the project in a holistic, integrative approach building upon metrics, models and foresight tools.
Innovation pathways towards more sustainable production and consumption in the fruit-vegetable supply chain
Fruit and vegetable consumption is below recommended levels and should increase to come closer to a more healthy and sustainable diet in Europe. The aim of the a new SUSFANS deliverable is to identify innovation pathways in the fruit and vegetable chain from a consumer perspective.
Systematic review of existing EU-wide scenarios related to sustainable food and nutrition security
SUSFANS aims to develop a toolbox that can aid policy-makers in making balanced and encompassing decisions on potential interventions to achieve food and nutrition security in the EU. An essential part of that is the use of scenarios/plausible futures, both quantitative and qualitative, to better understand the possible implications of decisions currently debated.
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Deliverable 3.6: The role of market power in the EU food supply chain
There is extensive debate on the position of farmers in the food chain and how global price volatility and increasing concentration up and down the value chain is affecting famers, taking into account increasingly complex vertically-related markets. Market concentration and technological advances are claimed to have shifted the balance of power in the food system to global retailers and other concentrated sectors.
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Deliverable 9.2: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food consumption and nutrition behaviour of European households
This deliverable describes the enhanced modelling of food consumption and nutrition behaviour under constraints with a focus on European households and population health impacts of changes in diets. The demand side enhancements enable the analysis of SFNS over time and in response to (policy) shocks.
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Deliverable 5.3: Innovation pathways towards more sustainable production and consumption in the fruit - vegetable supply chain and their uptake in the SUSFANS models
Fruit and vegetable consumption is below recommended levels and should increase to come closer to a more healthy and sustainable diet in Europe. The aim of this report is to identify innovation pathways in the fruit and vegetable chain from a consumer perspective. The deliverable shows the different elements of a consumer perspective, their relevance and above all the need to combine consumer, production and circular perspectives on innovation to support fruit and vegetables consumption. To understand or even stimulate consumption behaviour a wide array of drivers need to be taken into consideration, which relate to the individual (biological, demographics, psychological), the product, the interpersonal, physical environment and policy. These are represented in consumption-related innovations such as: targeting, motivating, contextual, communicating and acceptance of innovations; product related innovation such as: product, production, and package; and circular innovations (in particular around reducing food waste). This paper is meant to inspire, raise awareness, and continue the discussion on a strengthened consumer perspective in the innovation strategies, foresight and modelling work in SUSFANS.
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Deliverable 9.3: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food supply and use of scarce resources
This deliverable reports on Task 9.3 and describes the enhanced modelling of food supply and the use of scarce resources. The enhancements improve the analysis of sustainable food and nutrition security in response to (policy) shocks with regard to coverage and accuracy of sustainability metrics provided by long-run modelling tools in SUSFANS.
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Deliverable 10.1: Quantified SUSFANS scenario drivers ready to be used by the modeling toolbox
This deliverable quantifies the most relevant scenario narratives spanning across the range of future challenges for the EU sustainable FNS for use in the SUSFANS toolbox.
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Deliverable 6.2: A systematic review of existing EU-wide scenarios related to the EU sustainable food and nutrition security, identification of most salient features, and resulting synthesis scenarios for exploring sustainable diets
Scenarios as a tool to reflect on future pathways to sustainable food and nutrition security. Building on existing foresight and scenario exercises and identifying their most salient features in order to be combined in SUSFANS scenarios able to assess the EU policy goals for food systems.
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Deliverable 8.4: Early warning systems for commodity markets
An agricultural commodity price and price volatility forecasting modelling system has been developed and applied for four agricultural commodities to perform forecasts on a horizon spanning from three months to one year. The forecasting system can be used as an early warning system based on seasonal and decadal simulated weather and climate forecasts in combination with financial and macro-economic projections.
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Deliverable 4.5: The drivers of crop production at regional level in the EU: an econometric analysis
Crop production is the most crucial primary agricultural production activity for both food and nutrition security. Around 70% of the calories per capita and day come from plant-based products. The report provides a qualitative assessment of drivers of crop production and a quantitative analysis of crop yields in the EU. Crop yield trends are largely positive throughout the EU. Average efficiencies in yield exploitation are between 70 and 80% depending on the crop. Climate has mixed effects on crop yields and farm size, fertilizer and plant protection all clearly positively affect crop yields.
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During the last year stakeholder continued to interact with the project team and gave motivating feedback for the future. Voices out of the private sector named the work done so fare within SUSFANS ‘impressive’ - but expectations remain high.
Dec, 18 2017
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Sebastian Eckert
How can we improve the food system in the EU, especially from the perspective of social, environmental and economic sustainability? How can we balance and encompass views on how to strengthen food and nutrition security in the EU?
These are the core questions of the SUSFANS project. SUSFANS’ overall goal is to come to a better food and nutrition system for human health, the environment and corporate enterprises in Europe.
Sep, 19 2016
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Sebastian Eckert
May, 12 2015
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Sebastian Eckert
© Copyright 2015. METRICS, MODELS AND FORESIGHT FOR EUROPEAN SUSTAINABLE FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY - SUSFANS
H2020-SFS-2014-2,
Grant 633692